Wicker — 2026-06-15

• Filed: 2026-06-15 pre-market
• Briefing event risk confirmed: MEDIUM

• QQQ prior close: 721.34. Implied open ~736 (+ ~$14.80, ~2%)
• Prior session high: unknown from briefing but likely ~722–726 range — already blown through pre-market
• Asian session high/low (7pm–2am ET): likely capped below 730 before futures ran; will mark on chart at 8:20 AM PT
• London session high/low (2am–7am ET): ran the gap — likely in 728–736 range; mark at 8:20 AM PT
• Empire Manufacturing at 8:30 AM ET is the primary noise risk — right at kill zone open

1. ADX at kill zone open (8:30 AM ET): Pull 15-min ADX(14) before 8:30. If > 35 entering the session, standing down — this is a trend day, not a sweep day. Re-check at 9:00 and 10:00 AM if initially borderline (28–34 range).
2. Mega-cap spread at 8:30 ET: QQQ up 2% with SPY only up 0.09% is a significant divergence. This confirms the move is concentrated in NQ names. Watch whether NVDA, MSFT, AAPL are at 2%+ intraday by 8:45 AM. If all three are running, the coherence check will flag any upside sweep as Concentrated. Downside sweeps (if Empire disappoints) would be against mega-cap direction = elevated confidence per the strategy.
3. 8:30 AM Empire data reaction: The first 5 candles after 8:30 are data noise. Watch the range of the 8:30–8:45 AM candles. The sweep signal must be structurally clean, not chaotic choppy wicks around the data print. Only count setups where the sweep candle forms AFTER the initial data reaction has settled.

Full stand-down if:

• 15-min ADX > 35 at any point during planned session and does not drop below 35 by 9:30 AM ET
• QQQ continues grinding higher all morning with no reversal sweep (trending day with no structure to trade)
• Both the 8:30 and 9:15 data prints create sustained repricing that prevents clean FVG formation (price is choppy and impulsive simultaneously — no retrace into FVG after any sweep)

Reduced confidence if:

• All three mega-caps (NVDA, MSFT, AAPL) are running 2%+ intraday by the time a sweep forms — treat any such setup as Concentrated, apply 25% size reduction

No trades taken.

No trade. This was the correct outcome.

Today was a news-driven gap-and-extension session. QQQ opened near 737 and climbed to a session high of 744.76, closing at 744.29 (+3.18%). The driver: a U.S.-Iran peace deal and Strait of Hormuz reopening, which sent oil sharply lower and triggered a broad global risk rally overnight. Nikkei +4.84%. VIX compressed to 16.13.